Did I mention that with Trump's EFS external revenue service tariffs everything with few exclusions sold in America about to become much more expensive while at the same time the US dollar a fiat currency continues to lose value, a potent mix of factors that will cause the entire US Economy to take a fat dump or fail spectacularly in the near future.
Waymo full level 5 autonomy cannot respond fast enough to uncontrolled 3rd party real world variables & unexpected events or phenomena any faster than even a bad human driver. This means that full self driving does well much of the time without a driver, but in microsecond when it most counts the full self deriving model cannot accurately respond to an earthquake, power outages, network outages, internet outages, emerging vehicle accident involving other human driven vehicles where human drivers make mistakes that create a fast emerging multi-car pileup accident in less than a second at freeway speeds, right where Trucks pulling containers or Class 8 trucks, the so called HALO app for full self driving vehicle with Level 5 autonomy, this exactly domain of class specific Vehicle Driver AI fails in costly lawsuit causing accidents that handicap WAMOY into a legal stop, ending revenue & profits instantly as slow law makers have a emergent knee jerk reactions to national news coverages & international world news coverage of a Waymo vehicle that causes a fatal accident that kills children, by making mistakes that no normal human driver would make in the same situation of valuing choices about life & death on the seat of the their pants with ultra low latency human 1 petabyte brain pattern recognition massively parallel brain neuron processing, predictive control of the human body, able to drive F1 cars at the edge of what the tire compounds will allow in terms of maintain grip on drive well maintained pavement at race tracks.
The AI startup bubble forming a $1 trillion dollars speculation ramp up with no pathway to ROI or returns on investments. Moreover the costs of training better models increasing with a diminishing return on investments, making any additional progress towards commercial AGI or super human machine intelligence so costly that not even the wealthiest nations or wealthiest companies like NVIDIA or Google or Apple can afford to innovate further. In other words, the AI boom about to bust hard, causing massive layoffs & setting into motion a broad global economy recession like COVID 19, but more nuanced where most of the jobs lost are in the IT of information technology space, specially narrow domain LLM development & products such as Amazon Q to X's Grok or Microsoft Copilot or Apple Siri, these natural language personal digital assistant based on LLM or large language models are really good as a few specific use cases with legal documents & base level software writing assistant functions, sorta like spell & grammar checking in word processing apps, see Clippy in MS Word for a fun example from way back.
ML or machine learning illustrates that when Amazon doing last mile calculations to route trucks & packages the truck drivers deliver, that problem not only non-linear, it changes by the movement, constantly fluxing variables of many kinds that produce a very fuzz projection even a several days forward, no long duration forecasting can accurately model, except in the case of seasonal trends in buying habits, such that Amazon Q studies how people shop with their prime subscriptions, an robotic stacks of cargo in fulfillment centers pre-cache things likely to sell soon closer to the person at the pick & ship station that takes the object & picks a box size or package & put the object in the box, then labels it, this kind of high speed pattern recognition cannot be replicated by a robot or AI model, not even closely, because of the bewildering speed at which a human can do complex pattern recognition on the fly in real time when seconds count, the same can said of drivers making life of death choices while driving when a fraction of a second can make life of death difference.
Waymo solve self driving to LEVEL 4, not AGI Level 5, that is vastly too hard to actually accomplish in the complicated neighborhood street routes, where only middle of America vast stretches of freeway or highway in rural locations without many hazards in fair weather is the unicorn use case, in the real world, in all wealthy, in heavy rain, in heavy snow, in blizzards, in dark rainy confusion chaos road traffic accident emerging situations that even human struggle to handle, humans with years of driving experience, where the driver has to think & focus hard to avoid an accident, this is where the self driving model fails entirely. A friend & former coworker purchased a fully loaded Tesla Model 3 with the Self Driving fiction & it was a rainy dark winter morning when it sent him across the oncoming lane into a fence such that the 4x4 fence post went through the front window of the model 3 and took out my friends eyeball & that half of his brain also, so the self driving failed in an almost deadly mistake that could have easily killed my friend, but instead left him disfigured and disabled for life, though he made a good recovery after 8 reconstructive surgeries & obtained gainful employment incredibly.
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